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miggety's avatar

Really solid analysis. Having flashbacks to the recruiting table at my high school in the 90s.

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Cory Buott (Ijiraq)'s avatar

There appears to be a new doctrine emerging and I think Iran is very much at risk. The B-52 can be fitted to carry two of the GBU-43 to declutter a the surface of life, while the B-2 complements with the GBU-57 for ground penetrating effect. Air superiority and massive asymmetry without the expense of a missile force. Advance F-35s set up for beyond S-3/4/500 engagement is likely to pave the way. The C30E single GBU-43 Talon II Herc is near disposable and can be deployed later to clear most life of the surface of built up areas one the Advance teams have disabled the bulk of military infrastructure.

The cost of these precision guided bombs is a magnitude lower (and then some) for most missiles performing the same tasks). Air dominance is the key and is easily attainable. Israel has its own nuclear force anyway and doesn't need U.S. assets (only their defenses) to safely achieve a strike.

The low cost approach for maximal effect seems to alluring for them NOT to use it.

This maximal conventional approach has the added benefit of allowing the offensive force to instantly Occupy or launch a ground assault without risk of radiation exposure. There is almost zero chance nuclear weapons will be used in this occupation of the Middle East, now. But I'm nearly certain that a full scale attack on Iran will occur soon.

It can also be used in Gaza and Lebanon.

Mitigation means spreading out: Resistance forces, assets, civilians.

https://open.substack.com/pub/ijiraq/p/us-hiding-gbu-43b-thermobaric-mass?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=jwa6q

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